Barack Obama won big in Oregon four years ago with a 16-point gap over John McCain, and he was the first presidential candidate in state history to take 1 million votes.
Obama will likely take Oregon again. But Obama fever has died down, even among young people. So his margin of victory here may well turn out to be less.
Obama's huge win in 2008 was something of an outlier. The two previous presidential elections were much closer, despite Democratic wins. Al Gore beat George W. Bush by just 7,000 votes in 2000, and John Kerry won Oregon by 5 points in 2004.
Enthusiasm for Obama has lessened because some voters feel like he hasn't lived up to his promises of hope and change and because of the struggling economy.